Local Climate Change: 53.84 N, 31.36 E

Country:	Belarus
Latitude:	53.8414 N
Longitude:	31.3636 E
Nearby Cities:	Orsha, Horki

Climate Stripes

Mean Rate of Change ( °C / Century )

Since:	1760	1810	1860	1910	1960	1990
Current Location	0.43 ± 0.22	0.78 ± 0.19	1.11 ± 0.13	1.56 ± 0.15	3.33 ± 0.28	4.46 ± 0.38
Bryansk	0.43 ± 0.22	0.80 ± 0.18	1.13 ± 0.13	1.65 ± 0.14	3.27 ± 0.28	5.70 ± 0.35
Smolensk	0.45 ± 0.24	0.80 ± 0.21	1.14 ± 0.14	1.57 ± 0.14	3.39 ± 0.27	4.46 ± 0.41
Belarus	0.40 ± 0.22	0.73 ± 0.17	1.06 ± 0.13	1.44 ± 0.14	3.16 ± 0.21	3.66 ± 0.38
Europe	0.37 ± 0.21	0.63 ± 0.15	0.88 ± 0.08	1.09 ± 0.10	2.69 ± 0.23	2.94 ± 0.26
Russia	-	0.90 ± 0.23	1.15 ± 0.25	1.57 ± 0.20	3.39 ± 0.28	3.47 ± 0.40
Asia	-	0.82 ± 0.18	1.00 ± 0.15	1.35 ± 0.09	2.57 ± 0.24	3.13 ± 0.25
Northern Hemisphere	-	0.79 ± 0.16	0.96 ± 0.10	1.19 ± 0.05	2.56 ± 0.20	3.56 ± 0.20
Global Land	0.43 ± 0.18	0.79 ± 0.13	0.91 ± 0.08	1.11 ± 0.03	2.16 ± 0.11	2.78 ± 0.13

Temperature Record Months and Years

Seasonal Changes

Regional Climate Variability

Difference from Global Land Average ( °C, 95% range )

Smoothing	Monthly	Annual	Five-year	Ten-year	Twenty-year
	± 3.94	± 1.51	± 0.66	± 0.41	± 0.27

Correlation to Global Land Average (R value)

Smoothing	Monthly	Annual	Five-year	Ten-year	Twenty-year
	0.48	0.59	0.81	0.90	0.93

Variability in Monthly Means ( °C, 95% range )

Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun
± 6.64	± 6.06	± 4.77	± 3.57	± 3.58	± 3.07
Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
± 2.77	± 2.79	± 2.82	± 3.31	± 4.24	± 5.73

History of Temperature Stations

Evolution of Climate Extremes

Mean of Daily High Temperature

Mean of Daily Low Temperature

Change in Diurnal Range