land

March 2025 tied 2024 and 2016 for the warmest March on record. 2025 has a 34% chance to be a record-breaking year. ENSO transitioned to a neutral state.

February 2025 was the third warmest February on record, behind 2024 and 2020. However, there is now a ~38% chance that 2025 will be the warmest year on record, which is 8% more than the estimate made last month.

Globally, January 2025 was the warmest January on record, surpassing January 2024 by 0.09 °C. This is a surprising result given the La Niña event that began in December. There is now a ~30% chance that 2025 will be the warmest year on record (up from ~6% from the start of the year).

Globally, November 2024 was the second warmest November since record-keeping began in 1850. Though recent extraordinary warmth has begun to wane, 2024 remains almost certain to become the warmest year on record.

Globally, October 2024 was nominally the second warmest October since record-keeping began in 1850, though also essentially tied with 2023. 2024 is now almost certain to become the warmest year on record.

Globally, August 2024 was the warmest August since record-keeping began in 1850, continuing a 15-month streak of broken & tied records. 2024 is now almost certain to become the warmest year on record.

Globally, July 2024 was tied for the warmest July since record-keeping began in 1850, continuing a 14-month streak of records. 2024 is now very likely to become the warmest year on record.

Globally, June 2024 was the warmest June since record-keeping began in 1850, continuing a 13-month streak of records. 2024 is now likely to become the warmest year on record.

Globally, April 2024 was the warmest April since record-keeping began in 1850. This year is very likely to become either the warmest or 2nd warmest on record.

Globally, March 2024 was nominally the warmest March since record-keeping began in 1850, though only by a tiny margin. This year is very likely to become either the warmest or 2nd warmest on record.

Globally, February 2024 was the warmest February since record-keeping began in 1850, breaking the previous record by a small margin. This year is very likely to become either the warmest or 2nd warmest on record.

Globally, January 2024 was the warmest January since record-keeping began in 1850, breaking the previous record by a small margin. This year is very likely to become either the warmest or 2nd warmest on record.

Globally, November 2023 was the warmest November since record-keeping began in 1850, breaking the previous record by a large margin. 2023 is virtually certain to become a record warm year, and be 1.5 °C above our preindustrial average.

Globally, October 2022 was the 3rd warmest October since record-keeping began in 1850, and the warmest on land. Due to ongoing La Niña conditions, 2022 is very likely to be the 4th or 5th warmest year overall.