A summer of extremes, in context

A record-setting European heatwave, wildfires across Canada and France, and a strong El Niño taking shape in the Pacific. This summer has produced a run of extreme, headline-making weather: the warmest June ever measured for the world’s oceans, a lethal heatwave across France, wildfires across Canada and Europe, and the early arrival of a powerful […]

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Special Report: The March 2026 Western U.S. Heatwave

In March 2026, the Western U.S. heatwave generated a +11.5°F monthly anomaly, unprecedented in 170 years of instrumental observations and second only to the Dust Bowl in station-record breadth. In this Special Report, we examine the observational record, attribution, and the possible emergence of a more significant climate signal: evidence of increasing temperature variance that mean-shift models could systematically miss.

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May 2026 Temperature Update

May 2026 was the 2nd warmest May on record. El Niño has returned and is expected to rapidly strength. There is a ~2.5% chance that 2026 becomes a record warm year, but higher odds of a record annual average in 2027 following El Niño.

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March 2026 Temperature Update

March 2026 was the 4th warmest March on record. La Niña has ended and El Niño is expected to return in coming months. There is a 5% chance that 2026 become a record warm year.

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February 2026 Temperature Update

February 2026 was the 2nd warmest February on record behind 2024. La Niña is fading and El Niño is expected to return in coming months. There is a 16% chance that 2026 become a record warm year.

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